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연구정보

[경제] Debt Reduction in Latin America and the Caribbean

중남미 일반 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - Inter-American Development Bank 발간일 : 2023-12-06 등록일 : 2023-12-10 원문링크

During the pandemic, public debt in Latin America and the Caribbean rose to more than 70 percent of GDP, and countries are now attempting to lower debt ratios. We analyze past debt reduction episodes and find inflation and the real interest rate were the most frequent main drivers, while higher growth, fiscal consolidation and debt restructuring were relatively rare. Interestingly, inflation episodes tended to be with independent central banks and low real interest rates, highlighting the value of monetary credibility. We find debt reduction is not associated with a rise in inequality nor in unemployment, and growth or fiscal consolidation may improve these indicators.

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